Gavekal Capital: A Pharmaceutical Frenzy

Tuesday, April 22, 2014

A Pharmaceutical Frenzy

Over the last few months, the MSCI World Health Care sector has struggled to maintain its position at the top of the leaderboard:

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As companies swap cancer drugs for flu vaccines, or endeavor into the realm of animal health, we are reminded of just how impactful these investments in R&D (and other intangibles) can be when looking at the overall health of an industry over time.  Biotech companies spend more than 30% of sales on research and development efforts, while their Pharmaceutical cousins spend nearly 15%:

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Compare these R&D investments as a percent of sales to a Health Care sector average of ~10% and the MSCI World average of 2.4% and it highlights just how much importance companies like Novartis, Glaxo, and Lilly place on the value of intangibles.

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These investments can be linked to attributes such as higher than average margins and strong cash flow positions-- all achieved with very low leverage:

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And, while the Health Care sector as a whole may have reached higher than desirable valuations, a group like Pharmaceuticals appears to be more moderately valued at this point:

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